The 2022 Playbook Says Bitcoin Fails Here. On-Chain Data Says This Cycle Is D...
Bitcoin has lost the $80,000 level as the market faces a wave of uncertainty that has erased the confidence built during weeks of gradual recovery. The breakdown is not catastrophic in isolation — but XWIN Research Japan has identified a set of on-chain conditions that place the current moment in a historical context that demands careful attention before drawing conclusions about what comes next. Related Reading: XRP Holds Key Level, But Binance Flow Data Signals Weakening Demand The analysis draws on CryptoQuant data to describe a market at a genuine inflection point. Bitcoin rallied....
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,XRP is struggling to reclaim the $1.50 level as the market prepares for a move that participants on both sides of the trade increasingly recognize as decisive. The price is close but not through, and an Arab Chain report tracking Binance derivatives activity has identified a development in the leverage data that changes the risk profile of whatever move arrives next. Related Reading: The 2022 Playbook Says Bitcoin Fails Here. On-Chain Data Says This Cycle Is Different The Estimated Leverage Ratio for XRP on Binance has climbed to approximately 0.179 — its highest reading in nearly two....
Crypto analyst Cristian Chifoi says the Bitcoin price action is repeating 2022 cycle patterns, but only in reverse. Back then, the US Federal Reserve (FED) rate hikes triggered a staggering 63% crash in the BTC price. Now with the FED preparing to end Quantitative Tightening (QT), Chifoi believes the same macro setup could push prices […]
Alarmingly, G7 governments appear to be following a playbook designed to cap interest rates and let inflation run hot.
The 2022 Bitcoin crash has been one for the history books, where the price went from $69,000 to $16,000 before hitting a bottom. Being the most recent bear market before the current cycle, there have been a lot of comparisons between the current trend and the previous one. So far, while the Bitcoin price has tried to hold up against the bears, there have been similarities to the 2022 bear market cycle that could suggest a repeat of such a crash. The Similarities That Say Bitcoin Price Might Crash Further A pseudonymous crypto analyst who goes by the name Sherlock on X pointed out multiple....
XRP is flashing a familiar on-chain stress pattern after slipping below its aggregate holder cost basis, a move Glassnode says has historically coincided with capitulation, loss realization, and a slow grind toward stabilization rather than an immediate rebound. In a Feb. 9 post on X, the on-chain analytics firm said XRP “lost its aggregate holder cost basis, triggering panic selling,” pointing to a sharp deterioration in spent output profitability. Glassnode flagged its Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) on a 7-day EMA basis falling from 1.16 in July 2025 to 0.96 “now,” adding that “holders....