Crypto Has Entered Late-Cycle Territory, Says Global Liquidity Veteran
Global liquidity specialist Michael Howell used an appearance on the Bankless podcast to deliver a clear, if uncomfortable, message for risk assets: the post-GFC “everything bubble” is ending as the global refinancing machine rolls over, and crypto is late in that cycle rather than at the start of a fresh one. Howell’s starting point is his own definition of liquidity, which diverges sharply from textbook aggregates like M2. “This is the flow of money through global financial markets,” he said. It is not bank deposits in the real economy, but “money that is in the financial markets… it....
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Raoul Pal’s latest “Journey Man” episode brings back Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, for a sweeping tour of the liquidity landscape that has propelled risk assets like crypto for nearly three years. Both agree the global liquidity cycle is “late,” still advancing but increasingly mature, with its eventual peak most likely pushed into 2026 by policy engineering, bill-heavy issuance, and rising use of private-sector conduits. The investment implication running through the conversation is unambiguous: long-duration assets—crypto and technology equities—remain the primary....
Bitcoin has entered one of its most critical phases of the year as intense selling pressure briefly pushed the price below the $90,000 level, shaking market confidence and triggering widespread fear. Bears argue this breakdown marks the beginning of a deeper bearish cycle, with liquidity worsening and risk sentiment collapsing across global markets. Related Reading: […]
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s....
Just when crypto participants are discussing that Bitcoin seems to have entered a bearish phase due to its sharp pullback from its current all-time high and prolonged consolidation phase, the digital asset has rebounded strongly, revisiting levels like $95,000. Even though BTC has failed to reclaim its all-time high, many believe the ongoing cycle might […]
Bitcoin’s latest pullback has little to do with crypto-native flows and everything to do with the dollar, according to chief crypto analyst at Real Vision Jamie Coutts. Sharing two charts on X, Coutts argued that a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) is briefly tightening global liquidity and pressuring risk assets across the board. “Bitcoin’s dip isn’t mysterious — it’s macro,” he wrote. Why Is Bitcoin Down? “The dollar’s rebound is tightening global liquidity. DXY is retesting 100–101 — a key resistance and natural mean-reversion zone after one of the sharpest declines in decades in....