Three reasons why PlanB’s stock-to-flow model is not reliable
Here are three reasons why PlanB’s prediction isn’t accurate and why we can’t expect Bitcoin’s price to increase 10x after each halving. In the last couple of years, the stock-to-flow model proposed by PlanB has become very famous. A quantitative study published on the site planbtc.com shows the model and the prediction that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach the capitalization of $100 trillion. Obviously, the crypto industry, including myself, was fascinated by the logic of the model and even more so by the idea that it could reach and exceed $100,000 as early as 2021.In fact, the stock-to-flow....
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PlanB’s S2F/S2FX models are scientifically invalid and have fundamental issues that may lead investors astray.
Bitcoin prices have gone parabolic and the value is seemingly following along with the controversial stock-to-flow (S2F) model, according to the price model’s creator. This week, the Twitter handle dubbed “Plan B” said the “bitcoin stock-to-flow model [is] on track… like clockwork.” Stock-to-Flow Author Is Confident in the S2F Price Model Back in November 2020, news.Bitcoin.com reported on the popular but also contentious stock-to-flow price model created by Plan B. At the time, Plan B said that he has “no doubt whatsoever that bitcoin S2F is....
PlanB’s scarcity model predicts that bitcoin will surpass $98,000 in November and the $130,000 mark by the end of the year.
Bitcoin has never been so far below where stock-to-flow predictions call for it to be. Bitcoin (BTC) has never been as far below its target price as it is now, the stock-to-flow model shows this week.In a tweet on July 10, Lex Moskovski, chief investment officer at Moskovski Capital, showed stock-to-flow flagging a historic moment in Bitcoin's twelve-year lifetime."Great buying opportunity"With BTC/USD showing few signs of a genuine bullish recovery, the pair has been drifting ever further from the price that the stock-to-flow price model calculates it should have.Stock-to-flow is arguably....
Will Bitcoin break above six figures before Christmas? PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model suggests $100,000 BTC could be imminent. Bitcoin (BTC) has broken into new all-time highs, with the asset last changing hands in the mid $67,000-range.During the final hour of Nov. 8 UTC time, BTC pushed into uncharted prices, with bulls firmly taking control of the markets as price action retested Oct. 20’s previous high of roughly $67,000.BTC/USD: TradingViewThe milestone comes on a historic date for Bitcoin, with analysts noting that Bitcoin’s market cap pushed above $1 million for the first time on Nov.....