Bitcoin Futures Basis Hints At Possible Disbelief Rally
Bitcoin has recovered back to $42,000 since the dump after recording a bearish trend. Since then, sentiment, as well as momentum, has since turned towards the positive, leading the digital asset back on the path to a bull rally. But this does not tell the whole story. In this report, we take a look at the bitcoin futures basis, where it’s at, and what it currently says about sentiment among institutional investors. Institutional Investors Getting Bullish? Institutional investors may be getting bullish based on what the bitcoin futures basis is saying. Although there has not been much....
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Ethereum trends show it’s becoming more valuable as ETH 2.0 draws near. Thus, institutional investors are clamoring to get in on the action before it is too late. A signal for this has been ETH Futures have been trading at a higher basis premium than BTC Futures on CME. ETH Futures have continuously traded at a higher rolling basis than BTC Futures for the past three months. This could show that institutional investors are more bullish on ETH’s future in comparison to BTC. But other factors have also led to the ETH Futures trading so high. Related Reading | Ethereum Fee Burns Clocks....
Bitcoin futures premiums have been consistently trending in the low for some time now. There have been instances where they have broken out of this trend of low performance, but they seem to fall right back in. This does not spell all bad news for the futures premiums as it hints at exhaustion coming. This is attributed to the premiums trading close to yearly lows indicating that it is nearly a point of exhaustion across the board. Bitcoin Futures Premiums Down The reason behind the bitcoin futures premiums being down can be attributed to sell-offs that have rocked the digital asset in....
As Bitcoin touches $55k today, CME’s futures premium has reached highs not seen since April. This could hint at a Q4 bull run for Bitcoin. CME’s Annualized Basis On The Front-Month Contract Reaches Highs Not Seen Since April As per the latest report from Arcane Research, premium on CME’s annualized basis on the front-month contract […]
In late March/early April, the bitcoin futures basis had mounted an impressive recovery that pushed sentiment back into the positive. This had come after months of a declining futures basis, so this recovery was a welcome development in the market. This would prove to be short-lived, however, as the futures basis had taken a sharp nosedive in mid-April. Now, it is falling towards one-year lows, leaving in its wake a trail of wary investors. Nearing One-Year Lows Bitcoin’s drop back into the $30,000 has had a profound impact on the futures basis. As investor sentiment had turned largely....
Bitcoin bulls may get some respite from a derivatives market indicator that hints at a price bottom. As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to establish support at $37,000 on Tuesday, the recent $30,000 lows may have been the bottom, suggests one derivatives market indicator that has a history of accurately predicting BTC/USD cyclical lows following its bear cycles. The last time it predicted a bottom was on Nov. 1, following which the cost to purchase one Bitcoin surged from $13,771 to as high as $64,899 on Coinbase.Anatomy of a bullish indicatorDubbed as “rolling basis,” the....