Backwardation in Bitcoin futures contracts shows pro investors lack confidence
BTC traders are still searching for a bottom, but derivatives metrics show sentiment is negative and even the rally to $40,000 had little impact. Bitcoin (BTC) might have tested the $40,000 support in mid-July, but according to various derivatives metrics, there has not been a significant change in investor optimism. This situation either means that price is not what they are looking to mark the end of the current bear market, or that most traders are still underwater at $40,000.One of the best measures of optimism is the futures market premium, which measures the gap between longer-term....
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Bitcoin futures curve was in backwardation for most of 2018, a year when BTC lost 74% of its value, JPMorgan noted. JPMorgan’s cryptocurrency market analysts have pointed to the difference between Bitcoin’s (BTC) spot prices and BTC futures prices as a potential bearish sign for the market.In a Thursday note to clients, JPMorgan analysts led by global market strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote that the Bitcoin market has returned to backwardation — a situation when the spot price is above futures prices. The analysts said that the past month's correction in crypto markets saw Bitcoin....
Backwardation reflects a market condition wherein spot prices trade higher than future prices. Ether (ETH) bulls like a positive spread between its spot and ETH futures prices because the so-called contango reflects optimism about a higher rate in the future. But as of Aug. 1, the Ethereum futures curve slid in the opposite direction.Ethereum quarterly futures in backwardationOn the daily chart, Ethereum futures quarterly contracts, scheduled to expire in December 2022, have slipped into backwardation, a condition opposite to contango, wherein the futures price becomes lower than the spot....
Analysts search for bearish signals after the June BTC futures trade below spot exchange pricing. An unusual phenomenon called 'backwardation' is taking place in Bitcoin (BTC) futures trading, mainly the June contract, which expires on June 25. The fixed-month contracts usually trade at a slight premium, indicating that sellers request more money to withhold settlement longer. Futures should also trade at a 5% to 15% annualized premium on healthy markets, in line with the stablecoin lending rate. This situation is known as contango and is not exclusive to crypto markets.Whenever this....
According to TokenInsight 2021 Crypto Trading Industry Annual Review, the industry continues to break through, with 2021 full-year trading volume reaching $112 trillion, of which about half is futures contracts ($57 trillion), compared with spot trading that accounts for 43% ($49 trillion). In addition, the total crypto trading volume increased 3.37 times year on year. To be specific, futures contracts have grown the most by nearly 6 times, spot 2.3 times, and delivery contracts 2.36 times only. The overall data presented in the Review shows rapid growth in the futures market in 2021. It....
Bitcoin’s current volatility reflects traders' excitement as the price bounces between key support and resistance levels. When Bitcoin's (BTC) price dropped 10% to $29,150 on Jan. 27, something unusual happened with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) BTC futures contracts. As the price fell, these CME Bitcoin futures traded at a 1% discount to Coinbase, which signaled a disarrangement between both markets.Good morning. Bitcoin spot has almost full retraced the weekly. CME bitcoin futs are both backwardian and expire Friday. That is all.— i.am.nomad (@IamNomad) January 27, 2021....