Crypto On Alert: Raoul Pal Hints At Macro Twist Post-US Govt Shutdown
As the latest US government shutdown ends and markets refocus on macro plumbing, Raoul Pal has sketched out a strikingly liquidity-heavy roadmap on X – one that, in his framework, has direct implications for crypto. “So now the US Gov has reopened, what’s next?” Pal asks. He immediately points to the Treasury General Account (TGA): “Expect a few days for TGA spending to begin to significantly add to liquidity and should persist for several months.Obviously, QT ends in Dec and the balance sheet will crawl higher. We should see the dollar begin to weaken again.” Mechanically, TGA....
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Raoul Pal is pushing back on the idea that crypto’s current drawdown signals a broken market cycle, arguing instead that bitcoin and high-beta risk are being hit by a temporary US liquidity air pocket tied to Treasury cash management and government shutdown dynamics. In a weekend post on X framed as a takedown of “false narratives,” the Global Macro Investor founder said the prevailing story—“that BTC and crypto are broken. The cycle is over”—has become an “alluring narrative trap,” especially as “prices [are] puking each and every fucking day.” But Pal said a separate question from a GMI....
Global Macro Investor CEO, Raoul Pal, discussed the current economy this week and asked his 394,000 followers if people are using the wrong denominator when it comes to certain economic factors. One thing’s for certain, wages have not increased, no matter the common denominator people use to measure today’s salaries. Pal wholeheartedly believes that bitcoin is the only “life raft” he knows of that has “the optionality to change this [issue] over time.” Macro Strategist Asks: ‘Do We Have the Wrong Denominator?’ Raoul Pal is a bitcoin bull and....
Quick Facts: 1️⃣ US government shutdown has frozen key economic data, making the Fed reliant solely on Friday’s CPI data release. 2️⃣ The Friday release is unusual – the first since 2018 3️⃣ Markets see a 98.4% chance of a 25 bps rate cut, a smaller chance of a 50 bps cut. 4️⃣ Any cut […]
In an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph, macro investor Raoul Pal analyzes the macro factors that are keeping the crypto markets under pressure and the triggers that could spark the next Bitcoin rally. Macro investor Raoul Pal is convinced that the current crypto bear market will end only once the Fed eases its hawkish monetary policy by halting interest rate hikes. That could happen in the next couple of months, according to Pal's predictions. “The Fed are unlikely to raise rates as far and as fast as people expect. My guess is they probably stop raising rates sometime in the summer....
Macro strategist Raoul Pal says the price of bitcoin will reach $1 million in five years. He attributes the price increase to adoption by large pools of investors and the “enormous wall of money” coming into bitcoin, rather than because “the world is collapsing.” $1 Million Bitcoin in 5 Years Former hedge fund manager Raoul Pal shared his view on the economy, gold, and bitcoin last week in a podcast interview with Daniela Cambone of Stansberry Research. Pal previously co-managed the GLG Global Macro Fund in London after departing Goldman Sachs where he co-managed....