The Base, Bull And Bear Cases For Bitcoin Returns In 2022
Analyzing Federal Reserve policy decisions in addition to data from the purchasing managers’ index can give us three scenarios for the bitcoin price.Darius Dale is the Founder and CEO of 42 Macro, an investment research firm that aims to disrupt the financial services industry by democratizing institutional-grade macro risk management processes.Key TakeawaysThe distribution of probable economic outcomes — and by extension, financial market outcomes — is as flat and wide as it has been in recent years. 42 Macro’s base-case scenario of deflation calls for an expected return of -10%....
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The masses are bearish on Bitcoin. The market is convinced that prices below $30,000 will be revisited given the continued weakness in the top cryptocurrency by market cap. All eyes are on the massive “bear flag,” but could it instead be a bear trap? Bitcoin price continues to grind along a decade long parabolic trend line that in the past has put in several mid- to long-term bottoms. Here is a closer look at a currently unbroken trend line that BTCUSD must hold for continued parabolic momentum and what it could mean if we get a bounce from here. Unbroken Decade-Long Parabolic....
Crypto analyst Merlijn has described the Bitcoin price crash to $91,000 as a major bear trap as optimism returns to the market. The flagship crypto had dropped to this level following a wave of weekend sell-offs but has since recovered above the psychological $100,000 level. Bitcoin Price Crash To $91,000 Termed “Biggest Bear Trap” In an X post, Merlijn described the Bitcoin price crash to $91,000 as the “biggest bear trap of this cycle.” The analyst noted that this happened in the 2017 and 2021 bull runs and has now occurred in this 2025 bull cycle. He is optimistic that Bitcoin and....
There is no denying that Bitcoin has been ripped to shreds by bears over the last several months after setting a new all-time high in November last year. Even with new highs, the rally is largely viewed as a failure without a dramatic cycle conclusion. But what if that rally was part of a bear phase, that only now is about to end? In a new direct comparison between bear phases in Bitcoin since 2018, it could indicate that it is almost time for another bull season any day now. Bull Market Cyclical Behavior Months ago, the term “few” was thrown around by the crypto community....
The crypto bear market has had a significant impact on investing patterns across the space. Where the interest peaked in the bull market of 2021, the reverse was the case during the bear trend of 2022. In light of this, there has been an impact on the download numbers of crypto exchange apps across the […]
Following up on the weekend look at Bitcoin’s long term price chart, we will look again today at the long term (8 day candle) chart of BTC, per Kraken. Over the weekend we looked at a Bull Setup. As we saw, that setup suggests a bull move that will likely last several more months. But of course, it goes without saying that there are both bulls and bears in the market at pretty much any given moment. I expect that is well understood by everyone reading this article. So, it is not enough to just look at a bull setup as we did in my last article. We want to gauge bear strength also. So let’s....