Stock-to-flow model possibly invalidated as Bitcoin price loses $30K
Plan B’s stock-to-flow model is the closest it’s ever been to being invalidated as Bitcoin stagnates in the $30,000 range. As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) continues to struggle around the $30,000 mark, the widely accepted stock-to-flow (S2F) model to price Bitcoin, coined by Twitter user and unnamed Dutch investor Plan B, is now the farthest from its estimates. The model was popularized by the Twitter pseudonym more than two years ago in March 2019 and amid a minor bull through Q1 2019. It’s considered to be one of the leading quantitative valuations for the first-ever scarce digital....
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It's January 2019 all over again as Bitcoin deviates from stock-to-flow's estimates the most in two-and-a-half years. Bitcoin (BTC) closed its third red monthly candle in a row this week as a popular analyst likened BTC price action to January 2019.In a tweet on July 1, PlanB said that BTC/USD is now the furthest away from his stock-to-flow model's estimates in over two years.Stock-to-flow "make or break"After May's huge capitulation event, Bitcoin price action has failed to regain lost ground, staying around 50% below recent all-time highs.As a result, price models are getting a serious....
Bitcoin prices have gone parabolic and the value is seemingly following along with the controversial stock-to-flow (S2F) model, according to the price model’s creator. This week, the Twitter handle dubbed “Plan B” said the “bitcoin stock-to-flow model [is] on track… like clockwork.” Stock-to-Flow Author Is Confident in the S2F Price Model Back in November 2020, news.Bitcoin.com reported on the popular but also contentious stock-to-flow price model created by Plan B. At the time, Plan B said that he has “no doubt whatsoever that bitcoin S2F is....
Bitcoin has never been so far below where stock-to-flow predictions call for it to be. Bitcoin (BTC) has never been as far below its target price as it is now, the stock-to-flow model shows this week.In a tweet on July 10, Lex Moskovski, chief investment officer at Moskovski Capital, showed stock-to-flow flagging a historic moment in Bitcoin's twelve-year lifetime."Great buying opportunity"With BTC/USD showing few signs of a genuine bullish recovery, the pair has been drifting ever further from the price that the stock-to-flow price model calculates it should have.Stock-to-flow is arguably....
For a few years now, the pseudonymous creator of the popular stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model, Plan B, has become a very well known bitcoin influencer gathering 1.8 million Twitter followers. However, after the S2F price model didn’t come to fruition and dropped well below the price targets in 2022, Plan B and his price model have been criticized a great deal. On Tuesday, Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin denounced the S2F price model and said “financial models that give people a false sense of certainty” can be “harmful,” and they....
Deviation from the stock-to-flow average has always resulted in a reversal to new all-time highs, data shows. Bitcoin (BTC) spending over three weeks in the $30,000 range is proving a crucial test for one of its best-known price models.As noted by Philip Swift, co-founder of trading suite Decentrader on June 11, Bitcoin is issuing a major challenge to the stock-to-flow price forecasting tool.Is it bounceback time for BTC price?BTC price action has hovered in a lower corridor between $30,000 and $40,000 since mid-May. This has worried day traders, while vintage bulls have called for calm....