How Profit And Loss Supply Metrics Can Predict Bitcoin Price Rallies
As the most recent bitcoin price rally demonstrates, assessing on-chain data like bitcoin supply profit/loss metrics can be helpful for traders.On November 10, 2021, bitcoin hit its all-time high price of $69,000, per the Bitstamp exchange rate. It is truly an incredible event that BTC was able to climb so high, increasing the asset’s total market capitalization to $3 trillion, according to CoinGecko. But not so long ago, in June and July of this year, the situation didn't look so rosy. BTC was relatively weak, at least such an impression could have formed for many, and at some point, it....
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin is currently not satisfying a condition that has historically occurred alongside major bottoms in the price. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Is Still Greater Than Supply In Loss In a new post on X, James V. Straten, a research and data analyst, has pointed out how BTC isn’t fulfilling the bottom condition for the supply in profit and loss metrics. The “supply in profit” here naturally refers to the total amount of Bitcoin supply currently carrying an unrealized profit. Similarly, the “supply in loss” keeps track of the number of underwater....
Data shows around 15% of the total Bitcoin supply is now in loss, a value that has historically been sufficient to push the price down. Percentage Of Bitcoin Supply In Profit has Fallen Down To Just 85% As per the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the total BTC supply in profit has fallen down to just 85% this week, meaning that 15% of the supply is now in loss. The “percent supply in profit” is a Bitcoin indicator that highlights the share of the total supply that’s currently in profit. The metric works by looking at what price each coin in the chain was last moved....
On-chain data shows the percentage of the Bitcoin supply in loss has surged to almost 50% now as the crypto’s price tumbles below $20k. 49.94% Of The Total Bitcoin Supply Is Now Holding Some Loss As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the drop below $20k has now put almost 50% of the supply underwater. The “percent supply in loss” is an indicator that measures what part of the total Bitcoin supply is currently in the red. The metric works by checking the transfer history of each coin on the chain to see what price it was last moved at. If the previous selling....
Data from Glassnode suggests Bitcoin is currently in the historical bear market to bull market transition period. Bitcoin Correlation Between Price And Supply In Profit Has Recently Been Below 0.75 As per a recent report by Glassnode, the BTC correlation between the price and the supply in profit generally observes multiple drops below 0.75 during transitional periods. The “supply in profit” is an indicator that measures the percentage of the total Bitcoin supply that’s holding some profit right now. The metric works by looking at the on-chain history of each coin to see....
Data shows Bitcoin long-term holders hold significantly more supply in loss right now compared to May-July of 2021. 15% Of Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Is In Loss Right Now As per the latest weekly report from Glassnode, around 30% of the total BTC supply is being held at a loss at the moment. The “long-term holder supply” is the part of the total Bitcoin supply that hasn’t shown any movement since more than at least 155 days ago. The other part of the supply belongs to the “short-term holders.” This cohort doesn’t hold for too long and generally....