Prediction market doubts Trump will complete first term after COVID-19 diagnosis

Prediction market doubts Trump will complete first term after COVID-19 diagnosis

A pump in daily volume creates an 8% swing on whether Trump will complete his first term. Following reports of United States President Donald Trump’s positive test result for COVID-19, prediction markets have (perhaps predictably) seen a flurry of activity.One of the more macabre predictions gaining attention is on the centralized PredictIt market run by the Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand.Posing the question “Will Donald Trump complete his first term?,” the prediction was originally intended as a measure of the likelihood of the president getting impeached and leaving....


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