Bitcoin Analysis: Week of Sep 7 (Intro to Time pt. II)
In last week’s post we concluded with the following statement: We are currently Long-Term Bullish, Intermediate-Term Bearish, and Short-Term (very tentatively) Bullish. We will continue to treat the US$500 as support until visibly shown otherwise. The highest probability target is the bottom of the triangle at US$560 though some confidence has been lost in this move since last week. If it gets us there, the situation will be re-evaluated, but the most likely outcome is some more downside back to the US$530-500 zone. Some confidence in the move lost because the longer we hang around US$500....
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In last weeks post we concluded with the following statement: Friday Aug 1st started out as an impressive day yet sold off near the end. As a trader of the Fiat Financial Markets it would have been reasonable to pull the trigger and try and take advantage of the upward momentum, but keep in mind, the medium term trend is still down and the trader should have realized within a few days that the breakout back to US$625 is not imminent. Let us now take a look at the long-term view and see where we stand. Friday’s close will help guide us whether we can once again approach the 50% Fibonacci....
In last week’s post we concluded with the following statement: Now that the price has reached our support target of US$500-530 zone where do we stand now? Lets take a look at the weekly chart. “The odds, however, favor more downside back to the base of the triangle at US$560 and breaking below that should take us down into the US$500-530 zone where the Fibonacci’s will have a chance to create a healthy reversal.” The comment on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement has been changed to indicate we have reached this critical support point. An additional trend line has been added that uses the....
In last weeks post we concluded with the following statement: Today we will see if we need to re-evaluate this view going into next week. First let’s take a look at the latest weekly chat: Our charts are conflicting; the shorter daily chart is implying continued bearish pressure, as the bullish trend line was broken this week. The longer-term weakly chart on the other hand is not suggesting anyone should panic just yet. Watch for a pull back to the US$500 to US$530 zone while still keeping your eye on the target of US$750. Once one of these zones is approached we would look to re-evaluate....
In last week’s post, we concluded with the following statement: The price has been very stable which is not something said often in the Bitcoin community. We are pretty much in same position as a week ago. The price dropped a bit below US$500 but rebounded fairly quickly so nothing happened for us to be concerned about. We continue to refer to this level as short term support and would consider it broken if we get a low that is lower then last weeks low of US$485, and this new low isn’t immediately reversed back over US$500. Time to take a look at the long-term chart as always and make a....
In last week’s post we concluded with the following statement: As you can see last Sunday we were very Bearish at a time when price had rebounded from around US$320 to US$330. In hindsight, the bounce had a little more legs in it than initially expected, but as the primary view explains, the overall picture will remain Bearish according to the charts as long as we stay below US$400 and most like US$420. We have now turned Bearish across all time frames. Until proven otherwise any bounce is expected to just be new lower high until we can get back above US$420. What we thought was a nice....